Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 2.178821 2.301085 2.433018 2.587206 2.764129 2.962939 3.206459
2025-05-04 2.040236 2.196304 2.372211 2.588497 2.852318 3.171111 3.598574
2025-05-11 1.945305 2.122084 2.327586 2.589954 2.925661 3.356695 3.984240
2025-05-18 1.844763 2.029639 2.248926 2.536080 2.916007 3.426117 4.218765
2025-05-25 1.781402 1.975507 2.210136 2.524967 2.955605 3.561255 4.572810
2025-06-01 1.725449 1.925872 2.171950 2.509007 2.983571 3.679656 4.926525
2025-06-08 1.675261 1.879977 2.134652 2.489699 3.002479 3.784089 5.283110
2025-06-15 1.647731 1.860593 2.129466 2.512205 3.082308 3.994517 5.914554
2025-06-22 1.584523 1.792681 2.056870 2.435438 3.004991 3.931197 5.945954
2025-06-29 1.554455 1.766127 2.037611 2.432407 3.039928 4.065625 6.483524
2025-07-06 1.509092 1.717938 1.987105 2.381240 2.994288 4.048427 6.638752
2025-07-13 1.495020 1.710001 1.990383 2.407981 3.075254 4.278260 7.596727
2025-07-20 1.490342 1.715276 2.013282 2.467426 3.220768 4.676561 9.562813
2025-07-27 1.467113 1.694717 1.999073 2.469346 3.267742 4.882168 11.186053
2025-08-03 1.445404 1.675314 1.985435 2.470924 3.313841 5.098027 13.429196
2025-08-10 1.409667 1.635712 1.941494 2.422276 3.263344 5.072044 14.130468
2025-08-17 1.387618 1.614144 1.922549 2.412238 3.283798 5.228897 16.960479
2025-08-24 1.365535 1.591845 1.901658 2.397780 3.294286 5.363608 20.687814
2025-08-31 1.343759 1.569348 1.879653 2.380267 3.297117 5.479430 25.899390
2025-09-07 1.333964 1.563062 1.880917 2.400685 3.376575 5.841293 53.763956
2025-09-14 1.299559 1.521695 1.829333 2.330960 3.267815 5.603593 42.253166
2025-09-21 1.285029 1.507810 1.818020 2.328202 3.296428 5.807783 105.921226
2025-09-28 1.259115 1.477448 1.781490 2.281593 3.230918 5.694742 106.425950